Tuesday, March 11, 2008

The Best Player in the AFL

Nothing earth-shattering here - I just wanted to see what result you would get.

On the Basketball Reference blog, it was suggested that the player who should be considered the best in the NBA at any point in time is the one who has earned the most (MVP) voting support over a period of years. Basically, a player's value is measured by:

0.4 * votes in season t +
0.3 * votes in season t-1 +
0.2 * votes in season t-2 +
0.1 * votes in season t-3

So if we apply that formula to Brownlow Medal voting, here are the best players over the past decade:

1997 Robert Harvey (St.Kilda)
1998 Robert Harvey (St.Kilda)
1999 Robert Harvey (St.Kilda)
2000 Nathan Buckley (Collingwood)
2001 Nathan Buckley (Collingwood)
2002 Andrew McLeod (Adelaide)
2003 Andrew McLeod (Adelaide)
2004 Mark Ricciuto (Adelaide)
2005 Chris Judd (West Coast)
2006 Chris Judd (West Coast)
2007 Daniel Kerr (West Coast)

Seems like a reasonable list to me. Moving to this system would prevent the Shane Woewodins of the league from walking away with the best and fairest award, but somehow I don't think it will catch on...

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